Stop arming the world

Abstract

ing the problem-because to be confident it can still retaliate after a U.S. attack, Russia is likely to respond to deployment by increasing its reliance on launch-onwarnmg. The evolving relationship with China will also be affected, as will the pace and scope of China's now-quitemodest nuclear modernization program. Spurring China to build up its nuclear forces to overwhelm a U.S. NMD could in turn spur India and then Pakistan to build up their forces. Such developments are certainly not in U.S. interests. Also, to the extent you are worried about emerging states, keep in mind that the United States needs Russian and Chinese cooperation to control missile and nuclear technology transfers to other countries. You will need to have serious and sustained discussions with Russia and China. These talks must be a twoway dialogue; if you expect them to take U.S. security concerns into account, you must take their concerns into account as well. You should commit your administration to getting Russian agreement on any ABM Treaty changes, and you should not pull out of the treaty if you don't get quick agreement. Given the state of technology, there is no urgency-you have a lot of time to try to work it out. >il<