STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA: DO INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY AND FDI NET INFLOW MATTERS?

Abstract

This study examines the effect of institutional quality and FDI net inflow on the stock market development in Nigeria for the period spanning 1996 to 2018. Symmetric method through autoregressive distributed lag model is used for the estimation of the relationship and cointegration. Stock market development is proxy by the annual stock market capitalization, while institutional quality is measured by the average of the composite index covering six categories; control of corruption, government effectiveness, political stability, regulatory quality, rule of law and finally, voice and accountability. Bound test confirms the validity of linear of variables under investigation. We found sufficient and significant evidence, affirming the role of institutional quality on stock market development both in the long run and short run. Similarly, FDI net inflow matters for the development of the stock market in the long run but not significant as expected while in the short it exerts negative and significant impact on the stock market development. This implies that foreign investors in form of portfolio investment will retard the development of the stock market in the short run if not properly managed.