Stochastic Optimisation of Long-Term Production Scheduling for Open Pit Mines with a New Integer Programming Formulation

Abstract

Conventional approaches to optimising open pit mine design and production scheduling are based on a single estimated orebody model, which does not account for geological variability. Conditional simulation can be employed to quantitatively address the resulting grade uncertainty. Multiple simulated orebody models provide a suitable input for stochastic integer programming (SIP), a type of mathematical programming that generates the optimal result for a defined set of objectives under uncertainty. In the case of production scheduling, the objectives are to maximise the total net present value (NPV) and to minimise unsatisfied demand for processed ore. Using a set of multiple simulated orebody models as input into an SIP model allows for the integration of in situ deposit variability and uncertainty directly into the production scheduling optimisation process.