Abstract

When facing a multi-period defined contribution (DC) pension plan investment problem during the accumulation phase, the risk aversion attitude of a mean-variance investor may depend on state variables. In this paper, we propose a state-dependent risk aversion model which is a linear function of the current wealth level after contribution. This risk aversion model is reasonable from both the dimensional analysis and the economic point of view. Moreover, we incorporate the wage income factor into our model. In the field of dynamic investment analysis, most studies have irrational situations in their models because of the lack of the positiveness for the wealth process. In view of it, we further improve the work of Wang and Chen by completely eliminating the irrationality of the model. Due to the time-inconsistency of the resulting stochastic control problem, we derive the explicit expressions of the equilibrium control and the corresponding equilibrium value function by adopting the game theoretic framework developed in Björk and Murgoci. Further, two special cases are discussed. Finally, using a more realistic risk aversion coefficient, we provide a series of empirical tests based on the real data from the American market and compare our results with the relevant results in the literature.

Highlights

  • Due to the issue of the aging population and the impact of the unstable economic environment on benefits, defined contribution pension plans have become the prevailing form of pension schemes worldwide in recent years

  • The main contributions of this paper include: (1) We adopt a state-dependent risk aversion parameter, which is a linear function of the current wealth level after contribution, to describe the investor’s risk attitude and investigate the multi-period mean-variance optimization problem for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan

  • For the multi-period mean-variance asset allocation problem of a DC pension plan with a state-dependent risk aversion, when the wage income is uncorrelated with the risky asset, the equilibrium strategy can be rewritten in the following form, ût

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Summary

Introduction

Due to the issue of the aging population and the impact of the unstable economic environment on benefits, defined contribution pension plans have become the prevailing form of pension schemes worldwide in recent years. Wu [12] adopts the same model for the risk aversion parameter and investigates the mean-variance portfolio selection problem in the multi-period setting. The main challenge of the multi-period mean-variance optimization problem for a DC pension plan with state-dependent risk aversion is the time-inconsistency since the Bellman’s principle of optimality is not applicable any more. The main contributions of this paper include: (1) We adopt a state-dependent risk aversion parameter, which is a linear function of the current wealth level after contribution, to describe the investor’s risk attitude and investigate the multi-period mean-variance optimization problem for a DC pension plan.

Model Formulation
Equilibrium Control and Equilibrium Value Function
Special Cases
Numerical Illustration
Conclusions

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