Stiffness parameter β as a predictor of the 4-year all-cause mortality of chronic hemodialysis patients

Abstract

There is a lack of information on stiffness parameter β, an index of arterial stiffness, in hemodialysis (HD) patients. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether stiffness parameter β is predictive of the long-term mortality of chronic HD patients. We measured biochemical parameters and the stiffness parameter β of 80 patients on maintenance HD therapy and followed their course for 4 years, and we enrolled 70 of these 80 patients in the study. We divided the 70 patients into tertiles according to their stiffness parameter β values, and conducted multivariate analyses to examine the impact of the tertiles on 4-year mortality. Older age and the presence of diabetes mellitus were found to be independently associated with higher stiffness parameter β values. Fifteen patients (21.4 %) died and 16 (22.9 %) experienced a new cardiovascular event during the follow-up period. The results of a Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality in the HD patients with highest stiffness parameter β values (p = 0.0106). According to the ROC curve, the cut-off level that yielded maximal sensitivity and specificity for predicting all-cause mortality was 10.1, and the sensitivity and specificity using the cut-off value were 69.2 and 70.2 %, respectively. The results of this study suggest that stiffness parameter β is a predictor of all-cause mortality in chronic HD patients.