Stereotactic hematoma puncture and drainage for primary pontine hemorrhage: Clinical outcomes and predictive model

Abstract

Primary pontine hemorrhage (PPH) is a particularly grave form of hemorrhagic stroke, characterized by its significant mortality rate. stereotactic hematoma puncture and drainage is a procedure that has been shown to improve the prognosis of patients with PPH. However, there are currently no established criteria for selecting patients for this procedure. We contrasted the clinical outcomes of PPH patients treated with stereotactic hematoma puncture and drainage with those who received conservative treatment in this study. We conducted logistic regression analysis to identify the risk factors associated with postoperative mortality. A mortality risk nomogram was then constructed using these risk factors. A total of 127 conservatively treated patients and 96 patients who underwent stereotactic hematoma puncture and drainage were included in this study. In the surgical group, the 30-day mortality rate stood at 28.1%, significantly lower than the 43.3% observed in the control group (p = 0.02). Age, along with the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score and hematoma size, were identified as independent risk factors associated with death within 30 days post-surgery. The mortality risk nomogram was well calibrated and discriminatory, with a c-index of 0.878 (95% CI 0.80–0.95) as validated by bootstrapping, and a c-index of 0.849. This study provides a predictive model for selecting patients who are most likely to benefit from stereotactic hematoma puncture and drainage. The results of this study could be helpful to neurosurgeons in their decision-making process. However, further external validation is necessary to confirm these findings.