Abstract

Concerns about the dangers of cardiovascular diseases have been a major problem all over the world. Hypertension which is one of the commonest cardiovascular diseases is gradually usurping the minds of public health workers globally. The disease is the most common cause of morbidity and mortality all over the world. In this study, we employed the Box-Jenkins approach to model and forecast admissions and outpatient hypertension cases in Navrongo. The analysis showed that ARMA (1, 1) and ARMA (3, 2) models were adequate for modeling and forecasting admission and outpatient cases respectively. Although, our forecast shows a decreasing pattern in admission and outpatient cases, this does not provide grounds to infer that the disease is not prevalent but rather the Ministry of Health and public health workers should organize educative programs for the indigenes to help minimize the prevalence of hypertension.

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