Abstract

The spatial and temporal evolution of collective behavior in large populations is simulated with a cellular automaton model and predicted with a statistical mechanical analytical theory of macro‐sociological behavior. The numerical cellular automaton simulations show that the type of collective behavior observed in a group depends sensitively on the group's social temperature with consensus more likely at higher temperatures and fragmented pockets of majority and minority opinions at lower temperatures. An analytical derivation using a mean field approximation confirms this behavior and also identifies a critical social temperature (T, ≈ 1) above which organized collective behavior disappears. Using social forces as well as social temperatures, the statistical mechanical theory predicts existing macro‐sociological data on collective behavior.

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