Abstract

The temporal seismicity change in two seismically active zones around Hokkaido, northern Japan was investigated using the statistical estimate of the seismicity level (SESL’09) procedure. Hypocenter data provided by the Japan Meteorological Agency from 1960 to 2013 were analyzed. The seismicity of two geographically different zones, formed by Pacific Plate subduction and Amurian Plate convergence, showed different statistical characteristics. Low cross-correlation values between the two zones also suggest independent seismic processes for each area. However, an anomalously high cross-correlation period was identified from 1996 to 2000, with a time lag of 8 weeks. A 6-month seismic quiescence period before the strongest Hokkaido Toho-Oki Earthquake (4 October 1994, Mj 8.2) was observed on the Pacific side.

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