Abstract
Importance. The alcoholic industry is extremely interesting as an object for economic analysis as one of the most important sources of financing for the state budget. Any interference in its activities has quite obvious short-term effects and less predictable long-term consequences that can negatively affect the socio-economic development of the state. Objectives. Statistical analysis of the dynamics, structure and development trends of the alcohol industry in the Russian Federation and the identification of factors affecting the activities of organizations in the alcohol industry during the crisis. Method. During the research, we used parametric methods of data analysis and machine learning, descriptive method, analysis and synthesis. Results. State control over the production, storage, and supply of alcoholic beverages has significantly increased in the period under study. This trend is due to the global policy of quantifying and increasing the culture of consumption of alcoholic beverages. The authors found signs of a shift from a "northern" to "Central European" consumption model. Significant changes took place in the dynamics of industrial production and retail sales of alcoholic beverages. The authors paid special attention to the assessment of structural changes during the active phase of the anti-alcohol reform. The observed changes in the excise policy of the state have led to an increase in the burden on producers and distribution infrastructure.decline in production and consumption was observed practically for all enlarged groups of alcoholic beverages. The authors found that the implemented excise policy has a different effect on the volume of production and retail sales of large groups of alcoholic beverages. The production and sale of spirits is most sensitive to changes in excise taxes. The production and sales of wine products were the least sensitive. Moreover, during the recession, production showed positive dynamics. It is obvious that there are risks generated by an aggressive excise policy and a policy of price caps, which can lead to destabilization of the alcoholic beverages market, as well as the displacement of capital into the shadow sector.
Highlights
Методология исследования и источники данныхПрикладной характер исследования требует привлечения информации из разнообразных источников: 1) базы данных Росстата; базы ведомственной статистики, в том числе данные Федеральной налоговой службы, Федеральной службы по регулированию алкогольного рынка, Федеральной службы по надзору в сфере защиты прав потребителей и благополучия человека; 2) обзоры российского рынка алкогольной продукции, подготовленные аналитическим центром при Правительстве РФ; 3) статистические сборники4 «Основные показатели, характеризующие рынок алкогольной продукции», подготовленные Федеральной службой по регулированию алкогольного рынка; 4) отчеты Всемирной организации здоровья5: 2001 Global Status Report on Alcohol and Young People; 2002 Global Alcohol Policy survey; 2004 Global Status Report on Alcohol, including Country Profiles; 2008 Global Survey on Alcohol and Health; 2009 Global Status Report on Alcohol and Health (consumption, harm and policy integrated), including Country Profiles; 2010 Global Survey on Alcohol and Health; 2013 Global Status Report on Alcohol and Health, including Country Profiles; 2018 Global Survey on Alcohol and Health; база данных «Здоровье для всех» (HFA-DB)
State control over the production, storage, and supply of alcoholic beverages has significantly increased in the period under study
This trend is due to the global policy of quantifying and increasing the culture of consumption of alcoholic beverages
Summary
Прикладной характер исследования требует привлечения информации из разнообразных источников: 1) базы данных Росстата; базы ведомственной статистики, в том числе данные Федеральной налоговой службы, Федеральной службы по регулированию алкогольного рынка, Федеральной службы по надзору в сфере защиты прав потребителей и благополучия человека; 2) обзоры российского рынка алкогольной продукции, подготовленные аналитическим центром при Правительстве РФ; 3) статистические сборники4 «Основные показатели, характеризующие рынок алкогольной продукции», подготовленные Федеральной службой по регулированию алкогольного рынка; 4) отчеты Всемирной организации здоровья5: 2001 Global Status Report on Alcohol and Young People; 2002 Global Alcohol Policy survey; 2004 Global Status Report on Alcohol, including Country Profiles; 2008 Global Survey on Alcohol and Health; 2009 Global Status Report on Alcohol and Health (consumption, harm and policy integrated), including Country Profiles; 2010 Global Survey on Alcohol and Health; 2013 Global Status Report on Alcohol and Health, including Country Profiles; 2018 Global Survey on Alcohol and Health; база данных «Здоровье для всех» (HFA-DB).
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More From: Vestnik Voronezhskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ser.: Ekonomika i upravlenie = Proceedings of Voronezh State University. Series: Economics and Management
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