Statistical analysis of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma--multivariate analysis of prognostic factors and evaluation of therapeutic modalities

Abstract

Ninety-one cases of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma initially treated at Keio University Hospital between July 1981 and June 1996 were reviewed retrospectively. There were 83 males and 8 females, aged from 29 to 83 years old, with an average age of 62.7. The primary lesion was located in the lateral wall in 52 patients (57.1%), the superior wall in 23 (25.3%), the anterior wall in 14 (15.4%) and the posterior wall in 2 (2.2%). Double cancer was detected in 21 patients (23.1%). The patients were divided into two groups according to the initial main treatment of the primary lesion without regard to chemotherapy: 72 patients (79.1%) who received curative radiotherapy with or without salvage surgery, and 14 patients (15.4%) who underwent curative surgery with or without preoperative and/or postoperative radiation. The remaining 5 patients were treated by chemotherapy alone. Prior to the above treatments 50 patients (54.9%) received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). Survival distributions were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method as univariate analysis, and compared by the generalized Wilcoxon test. The overall five-year cumulative survival rate was 55.6%. The five-year survival rates according to stage (UICC classification, 1987) were as follows: stage I (11 cases), 70.7%; stage II (12 cases), 63. 6%; stage III (30 cases), 52.3%; and stage IV (38 cases), 52.5%. Significant clinicopathological variables that influenced survival were: (1) T stage (p = 0.0075); (2) age (p = 0.0274); and (3) location of primary lesion (p = 0.0400). The results of multivariate analysis by Cox's proportional hazards model identified T stage as a significant independent prognostic factor. Evaluation of the therapeutic modalities led to the following conclusions. (1) Differences in the initial treatments of the primary lesion were not reflected in the outcome. (2) Salvage surgery for residual or recurrent tumor contributed to improving the survival. The superior wall type, in particular, seemed to be a good indication for salvage surgery. (3) Although the limitations of radiotherapy are not defined clearly, we have to determine the indications for radical resection of tumors resistant to radiotherapy with reconstruction. (4) The response rate of NAC reached 85.4%, but there were no significant differences in survival between the group that underwent NAC and the other group in any other subset analyses. (5) Among the patients who underwent NAC, the responder (CR + PR) group showed a better five-year survival rate (61.3%) than the non-responder (NC + PD) group (42.9%), but the difference was not significant.