State Estimation of Gas-Lifted Oil Well Using Nonlinear Filters.

Abstract

The focus of this work is the extension of nonlinear state estimation methods to gas-lifted systems. The extended Kalman filter (EKF), unscented Kalman filter (UKF) and particle filter (PF) were used to estimate the nonlinear states. Brief descriptions of the filters were first presented starting from the linear Kalman filter. Hypothesis tests on the expectation of the residuals were performed to show how close to optimal the estimation methods are and it showed the UKF estimates to be slightly better than EKF while PF performs the worst. The PF has poor accuracy using residual visualisation, hypothesis test and the root mean squared error (RMSE) values of the residuals. The gas-lifted system exhibits casing heading instability where the states show oscillatory behaviour depending on the value of the input but the results here do not change in a known way for each filter as the input is changed from the non-oscillatory region to the oscillatory region. Therefore, for this noise distribution and model assumption, either the EKF or UKF can be used for nonlinear state estimation with UKF better preferred if computational cost is not considered when control solutions are used in gas-lifted system.