Abstract
China is the first apple production country in the world, and apple planting industry occupies an important position in China, so through the analysis of the state of apple industry in China. It is of great significance to stabilize the apple commodity market and promote the healthy development of the industry. According to the preliminary analysis of the data, it can be found that with the increase of the year, the apple yield has a significant linear growth trend. Therefore, through comprehensive analysis, this paper establishes a regression model and uses MATLAB to solve. Based on the test and analysis of the model, five criteria are given to judge the merits and demerits of the data, and the requirements of data integrity, that is, whether there is abnormal data culling in the process of model fitting. By analyzing the export volume of fresh apple and apple juice in China and the world, the export scatter model of fresh apple and apple juice in China and the world is established. The scattered point model of apple planting area between China and the world is established. It shows that China’s apple market plays a very important role in and influences international trade. China is the largest apple producer in the world and plays an important role in the international apple production. The influencing factors of fresh apple export include distance, economic development of importing country, international politics, product quality, cost, market environment and brand. In terms of the future change law and forecast, the development level of the apple industry is constantly improving, the supply will continue to exceed the demand in the next few years. And the polarization phenomenon of domestic apple price will be more and more obvious.
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