Standardized Precipitation Index for Metrological Drought Analysis In Kashmir Valley Of Jammu And Kashmir

Abstract

Abstract: The term "drought" is multifaceted, with varying interpretations based on personal experiences. It is a natural disaster that is distinguished by a severe and ongoing precipitation deficit. The planning and management of freshwater resources as well as the forecasting of the arrival and intensity of droughts depend heavily on drought monitoring. A number of indices have been put forth over time to track and measure data related to droughts. The Standardized Precipitation index (SPI), which is based on the idea of probability, is the most commonly used index. The current study examines the possibility of analysing the temporal pattern and severity of drought in the Kashmir Valley (Jammu and Kashmir) using precipitation-based SPI. Utilizing the "DrinC" software application, the Indices were calculated. SPI values were calculated using monthly precipitation data for the IMD Srinagar 2003 to 2022. SPI series computations were carried out for short, moderate, and long time scales. Based on the data, the Kashmir region experienced four periods of moderate drought in the years 2007, 2009, 2012, and 2016. Additionally, there was no significant drought from 2003 to 2022. 2007 had the maximum intensity with an SPI value of -1.37 for a moderate drought.