Abstract

This paper presents a new and general approach, named “Stage-t Scenario Dominance,” to solve the risk-averse multi-stage stochastic mixed-integer programs (M-SMIPs). Given a monotonic objective function, our method derives a partial ordering of scenarios by pairwise comparing the realization of uncertain parameters at each time stage under each scenario. Specifically, we derive bounds and implications from the “Stage-t Scenario Dominance” by using the partial ordering of scenarios and solving a subset of individual scenario sub-problems up to stage t. Using these inferences, we generate new cutting planes to tackle the computational difficulty of risk-averse M-SMIPs. We also derive results on the minimum number of scenario-dominance relations generated. We demonstrate the use of this methodology on a stochastic version of the mean-conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) dynamic knapsack problem. Our computational experiments address those instances that have uncertainty, which correspond to the objective, left-hand side, and right-hand side parameters. Computational results show that our “scenario dominance"-based method can reduce the solution time for mean-risk, stochastic, multi-stage, and multi-dimensional knapsack problems with both integer and continuous variables, whose structure is similar to the mean-risk M-SMIPs, with varying risk characteristics by one-to-two orders of magnitude for varying numbers of random variables in each stage. Computational results also demonstrate that strong dominance cuts perform well for those instances with ten random variables in each stage, and ninety random variables in total. The proposed scenario dominance framework is general and can be applied to a wide range of risk-averse and risk-neutral M-SMIP problems.

Highlights

  • Risk is a fundamental issue arising in finance, insurance, project management, and many other areas

  • This paper presents a new and general approach, named “Stage-t Scenario Dominance,” to solve the risk-averse multi-stage stochastic mixed-integer programs (M-SMIPs)

  • Computational results show that our “scenario dominance"-based method can reduce the solution time for mean-risk, stochastic, multi-stage, and multi-dimensional knapsack problems with both integer and continuous variables, whose structure is similar to the mean-risk M-SMIPs, with varying risk characteristics by one-to-two orders of magnitude for varying numbers of random variables in each stage

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Summary

Introduction

Risk is a fundamental issue arising in finance, insurance, project management, and many other areas. The analysis of risk in stochastic programming has recently been quite popular and raised many research questions, from model formulation to algorithmic approaches to tackle the problem difficulty, see, for instance, Schultz (2005), Schultz and Tiedemann (2006), Eichhorn and Römisch (2005), Ruszczynski (2013), and Yin and Büyüktahtakin (2021), among others. This paper addresses the computational difficulty of solving multi-stage stochastic mixed-integer programming problems (M-SMIPs) involving risk-averse objectives. Stochastic mixed-integer programs can be formulated as an extensive form of a mixedinteger program (MIP), where a discrete stochastic process is represented by a finite number of realizations, i.e., scenarios. The size of the MIP grows exponentially in the number of decision stages and scenarios, leading to large-scale optimization formulations. Incorporating the riskaversion criterion in addition to the expectation in the objective function further complicates the problem

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