Abstract

Abstract/Zusammenfassung The spread risk premium component of credit default swap (CDS) spreads represents a compensation demanded by protection sellers for future changes in CDS spreads caused by unpredictable fluctuations in the reference entity’s risk-neutral default intensity. This paper defines and estimates a measure of the spread risk premium component in CDS spreads of a sample of European investment-grade firms by using a stochastic intensity credit model. Our results show that, on average, investors demand a positive premium for such mark-to-market risks. After controlling for CDS market conditions, like liquidity and supply/demand effects, a panel data analysis of the estimated spread risk premia reveals a positive impact of event risk captured by the overall stock market volatility and a negative impact of investors’ appetite for exposure to credit markets as reflected by the overall CDS market. Marktrisikopr mien in Credit Default Swaps von Unternehmen Die Marktrisikopramie im Credit Default ...

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