Spread of risk across financial markets: better to invest in the peripheries

Abstract

Risk is not uniformly spread across financial markets and this fact can be exploited to reduce investment risk contributing to improve global financial stability. We discuss how, by extracting the dependency structure of financial equities, a network approach can be used to build a well-diversified portfolio that effectively reduces investment risk. We find that investments in stocks that occupy peripheral, poorly connected regions in financial filtered networks, namely Minimum Spanning Trees and Planar Maximally Filtered Graphs, are most successful in diversifying, improving the ratio between returns' average and standard deviation, reducing the likelihood of negative returns, while keeping profits in line with the general market average even for small baskets of stocks. On the contrary, investments in subsets of central, highly connected stocks are characterized by greater risk and worse performance. This methodology has the added advantage of visualizing portfolio choices directly over the graphic layout of the network.