Abstract

Western North American forest ecosystems are experiencing rapid changes in disturbance regimes because of climate change and land use legacies (Littell et al. 2018). In many of these forests, the accumulation of surface and ladder fuels from a century of fire suppression, coupled with a warming and drying climate, has led to increases in the number of large fires (Westerling 2016) and the proportion of areas burning at higher severity (Safford and Stevens 2017, Singleton et al. 2018). While the annual area burned by fire is still below historical levels (Taylor et al. 2016), some forest types in the west are burning at higher severities when compared to pre-European settlement periods (Mallek et al. 2013, Safford and Stevens 2017). As such, they face an increased risk of conversion to non-forest ecosystems (e.g., shrublands, non-native grasslands) following large, severe fires because of compromised seed sources, post-fire soil erosion and loss, high-severity re-burn, and climatic thresholds (Coppoletta et al. 2016, Stevens et al. 2017, Rissman et al. 2018, Shive et al. 2018, Wood and Jones 2019). Restoration methods such as mechanical thinning and prescribed and managed wildland fire that reduce accumulated surface and ladder fuels (e.g., removal of smalland medium-sized trees, especially non-fire adapted species) may reduce the spatial extent of severe fires and increase forest resilience to fire in a changing climate (Agee and Skinner 2005, Stephens et al. 2013, Hessburg et al. 2016, Tubbesing et al. 2019) and, in doing so, promote key ecosystem services (Hurteau et al. 2014, Kelsey et al. 2017, Wood and Jones 2019).

Highlights

  • Attributing a positive effect of fire to occupancy at these sites may have biased the overall estimate of fire effects on occupancy in a positive direction in the meta-analysis. This key insight about fire impacts on individuals was enabled by the detailed study of a banded population of spotted owls in Jones et al (2016) and involved dynamics that were not possible to identify in many of the occupancy studies of unbanded owls used in Lee (2018)

  • Context of changing wildfire trends Lee (2018:19) states that “forest fire does not appear to be a serious threat to owl populations and likely imparts more benefits than costs for Spotted Owls. . .”

  • We have described several of the planning documents to which Lee (2018) refers do consider how climate change is expected to increase severe fire activity and by extension affect spotted owls

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Summary

ECOLOGICAL ISSUES

Overgeneralization of historical fire regimes within forests inhabited by spotted owls Lee (2018:1–2) provided the following statement about natural fire regimes within the range of the spotted owl: “Western forest fires typically burn as mixed-severity fires with each fire resulting in a mosaic of different vegetation burn severities, including substantial patches (range, 5–70% of burned area; mean, 22%) of high-severity fire (Beaty and Taylor 2001, Hessburg et al 2007, Whitlock et al 2008, Williams and Baker 2012, Odion et al 2014, Baker 2015).” While this statement may be technically correct when applied to the entire geographic range of the spotted owl, it does not properly acknowledge that the natural range of variability (NRV) in fire regimes shows strong geographic variation according to forest type and climate (Brown and Smith 2000, Stephens et al 2019). The term “mixed-severity” tends to encompass such v www.esajournals.org

Inclusion of duplicated data from multiple studies
Inferential Context of changing wildfire trends
INFERENTIAL ISSUES
CONCLUSIONS
Findings
LITERATURE CITED
Full Text
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