Spleen Stiffness Measured by 2D-Shear Wave Elastography and Rebleeding Risk in Cirrhotic Patients Undergoing Endoscopic Variceal Ligation for Variceal Bleeding

Abstract

Background and Aims. Endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL) of esophageal varices alters the portal pressure. We observed the changes in 2D-shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) measurements of spleen and liver following EVL and tried to identify the predictors for rebleeding and mortality at 6 months. Methods. A prospective observational study of 202 patients who underwent EVL for bleeding esophageal varices was done. 2D-SWE measurements of liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) and spleen volume (SV) were measured half an hour before, 1 hour, 2 weeks, and 6 weeks after EVL. All were followed up for 6 months for rebleeding and all-cause mortality. Results. 83 patients were in child C (41%). Difference in SV, SS, and LS at 2 and 6 weeks from baseline was noted as Delta 2 (2nd week post-EVL - pre-EVL SV, LS, and SS) and Delta 3 (6th week post EVL - pre - EVL SV, LS and SS), respectively. Mean Delta 2 VOL and Delta 3 VOL were lower in the bleeding and mortality groups. Delta 2 SS, Delta 3 SS, Delta 2 LS, and Delta 3 LS were higher in the rebleeding and mortality groups. These changes were statistically significant. AUROC in predicting rebleeding was the highest for Delta 2 VOL (0.773) and Delta 3 LS (0.764) amongst the USG parameters that performed better than MELD score (0.677). AUROC in predicting mortality was the highest for Delta 3 VOL and Delta 2 VOL-0.873 and 0.842, respectively, and higher than MELD’s (0.641). Statistically significant variables in binary logistic regression analysis for rebleeding were Delta 3 LS and Delta 3 SS and none for mortality. Conclusion. LS, SS, and SV change after EVL. Changes in liver and spleen stiffness at 6 weeks from baseline had good diagnostic accuracy for predicting rebleeding at 6 months.