Abstract

Land-use change is a global issue, and the built-up land expansion has affected the ecological landscape patterns of the major river basins in the world. However, measurement of the ecological risks of potential landscape and identification of the dynamic relationships by natural and human-driven built-up land expansion at different zoning scales are still less understood. Based on multi-period Landsat satellite image data, we combined remote sensing (RS) and geography information systems (GIS) technologies with Spatial Durbin Panel Model to quantitatively analyze the landscape ecological effects under the built-up land expansion in the Yellow River Basin. The results showed that there is spatial heterogeneity in the built-up land expansion and ecological security patterns, with the expansion gravity center gradually spreading from the downstream to the middle and upstream areas, and the most dramatic change in landscape patches of ecological safety patterns occurring around the year 2000. At different zoning scales, there is a spatial spillover effect on the interaction between built-up land expansion and ecological security, with the significance of the regression estimates decreasing from large sample sizes to small sample sizes. Our findings highlighted the importance of spatial heterogeneity at different zoning scales in identifying the dynamic relationship between built-up land expansion and ecological security, scientific planning of land resources, and mitigation of ecological and environmental crises.

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