Abstract

Electric field distribution is a determinant factor of air gap breakdown voltage. This paper defined an effective electric field zone between the sphere gaps for feature extraction, and 29 parameters were extracted from this zone to reflect the electric field distribution. A data mining model was established by back propagation neural network (BPNN) for sphere gap breakdown voltage prediction, taking the electric field features as inputs. The maximum information coefficient (MIC) method was used to select features strongly correlated to the breakdown voltage, and a multi‐strategy improved salp swarm algorithm (ISSA) was applied to optimize the BPNN parameters to enhance the prediction performance. The standard sphere gaps provided in IEC 60052 were taken as training set and test set, which were divided according to the electric field nonuniform coefficients. The breakdown voltage prediction results of test sample sphere gaps demonstrate good agreements with the experimental values. With input features selected by the MIC method, the ISSA optimized BPNN model has a mean absolute percentage error of only 0.83% and a maximum relative error of 5.86%. By constructing the nonlinear mapping relationship between the effective electric field features and the insulation strength, this study provides a new approach to predict air gap breakdown voltage. © 2022 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan. Published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.

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