Abstract

Abstract. During the second half of 2002, the University of Northampton Radon Research Group operated two continuous hourly-sampling radon detectors 2.25 km apart in the English East Midlands. This period included the Dudley earthquake (ML=5, 22 September 2002). Also, at various periods during 2008 the Group has operated other pairs of continuous hourly-sampling radon detectors similar distances apart in the same region. One such period included the Market Rasen earthquake (ML=5.2, 27 February 2008). Windowed cross-correlation of the paired time-series was used to identify simultaneous short-duration anomalies. In the 2002 data, only two periods of significant cross-correlation were observed, each corresponding temporally to a UK earthquake, one to the Dudley earthquake and the other to a smaller earthquake in the English Channel (ML=3, 26 August 2002). In the 2008 data, cross-correlation initially revealed little evidence of simultaneous short-duration anomalies but cross-correlation of data de-noised and de-trended using Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) revealed clear simultaneous short-duration anomalies which correspond temporally to the Market Rasen earthquake.

Highlights

  • Earthquakes have resulted in millions of deaths and the destruction of built and natural environments

  • Changes during stage II may enable short/mediumterm predictions, this is complicated by the fact that radon emissions, and other precursors, can differ (a) from place to place and (b) in time at the same place

  • It was this feature of the 2008 monitoring which provided the stimulus for the newer investigation, the working hypothesis being that if the machinedependencies of the time-series could be removed or reduced, simultaneous short-duration anomalies such as those at the time of the Dudley earthquake might be more clearly www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/10/1079/2010/

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Summary

Introduction

Variations in radon concentration in well/borehole water and groundwater prior to major earthquakes have been reported, e.g. the 1966 Tashkent earthquake (Asada, 1982) and the 1995 Kobe earthquake (Igarashi et al, 1995). Koch and Heinicke (1994) recorded radon anomalies associated with numerous microquakes (M

21–29 Oct 2002
Radon monitoring and results
Discussion
Conclusions
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