Specification of models in large expert systems based on causal probabilistic networks

Abstract

Problems involved in the specification of large expert systems are discussed. In the specification of causal probabilistic networks conditional probability tables for all nodes have to be provided. These conditional probability tables can often be described by models that specify the nature of interaction between nodes. Various types of models are described and a program that handles such models is presented. Large causal probabilistic networks often contain several copies of identical tables or structures. A header facility that provides common definitions of such repeated elements is proposed. This facility makes specifications much shorter and easier to construct and maintain.