Spatiotemporal Pattern of Occurrence Time of Extreme Precipitation and Circulation Mechanisms in the Arid Region of Northwest China

Abstract

Investigation of extreme precipitation events in arid and semiarid regions, especially for occurrence time and the associated circulation mechanisms, is vital to support the forecasting of and the advanced response to resultant disasters. In this study, the spatiotemporal pattern of occurrence time of extreme precipitation and atmospheric circulation mechanisms in the Arid Region of Northwest China (ARNC) were analyzed using two indicators (precipitation concentration degree and period) and the climate diagnosis method. Results showed that the significant scattered pattern of extreme precipitation occurrence time (EPOT) in Northern Xinjiang and the postponed pattern of maximum extreme precipitation occurrence (MEPO) from southern to northern Xinjiang are consistent with the input pathway of the Arctic air mass. During the anomaly dispersion year of EPOT and the anomaly delay year of MEPO, the Arctic air mass carried sufficient water vapor is transported to ARNC for triggering extreme precipitation events. Meanwhile, the pattern of concentration–dispersion–concentration in eastern ARNC demonstrates interaction between the westerlies and the summer monsoon. Sufficient water vapor is transported to southwestern ARNC by the southwest monsoon during the anomaly delay year of MEPO and the anomaly concentration year of EPOT. The findings of this study suggest that invasion of the Arctic air mass and the summer monsoon could influence extreme precipitation in ARNC.