Spatiotemporal effect and influencing factors of the total factor energy efficiency: Evidence from the urban agglomerations in China

Abstract

Amidst the ongoing global energy quandary, the imperative to augment energy efficiency emerges as a strategic response to counteract energy profligacy and propel sustainable development initiatives. This study aims to assist policymakers in gaining a more accurate understanding of the temporal and spatial complexity and dominant variables of total factor energy efficiency at the urban agglomeration level, thereby providing empirical insights for promoting a comprehensive improvement of the existing energy development framework. Based on the dynamic DEA model, this article utilizes an improved common frontier dynamic super-efficiency SBM model to conduct a quantitative analysis of total factor energy efficiency across 19 urban agglomerations in China. The influence factors of total factor energy efficiency are analyzed using spatial kernel density and geographical detectors at both temporal and factor levels. The research findings indicate that: (1) Total factor energy efficiency primarily fluctuates at a mid to low level, with a general decline to below 0.5 after 2018; (2) Significant regional heterogeneity is evident among Chinese urban agglomerations, displaying a “high in the northwest, low in the southeast” regional characteristic; (3) With time lag, the negative spatial spillover effect among regions further intensifies, becoming heterogeneous when the total factor energy efficiency of local urban agglomerations reaches 1.5 or above; (4) The singular and interactive effects of research funding become the main influencing factors of regional differentiation, and the integration of multiple factors is a key driver for enhancing total factor energy efficiency in the new era.