Abstract

Hendra virus (HeV) causes highly lethal disease in horses and humans in the eastern Australian states of Queensland (QLD) and New South Wales (NSW), with multiple equine cases now reported on an annual basis. Infection and excretion dynamics in pteropid bats (flying-foxes), the recognised natural reservoir, are incompletely understood. We sought to identify key spatial and temporal factors associated with excretion in flying-foxes over a 2300 km latitudinal gradient from northern QLD to southern NSW which encompassed all known equine case locations. The aim was to strengthen knowledge of Hendra virus ecology in flying-foxes to improve spillover risk prediction and exposure risk mitigation strategies, and thus better protect horses and humans. Monthly pooled urine samples were collected from under roosting flying-foxes over a three-year period and screened for HeV RNA by quantitative RT-PCR. A generalised linear model was employed to investigate spatiotemporal associations with HeV detection in 13,968 samples from 27 roosts. There was a non-linear relationship between mean HeV excretion prevalence and five latitudinal regions, with excretion moderate in northern and central QLD, highest in southern QLD/northern NSW, moderate in central NSW, and negligible in southern NSW. Highest HeV positivity occurred where black or spectacled flying-foxes were present; nil or very low positivity rates occurred in exclusive grey-headed flying-fox roosts. Similarly, little red flying-foxes are evidently not a significant source of virus, as their periodic extreme increase in numbers at some roosts was not associated with any concurrent increase in HeV detection. There was a consistent, strong winter seasonality to excretion in the southern QLD/northern NSW and central NSW regions. This new information allows risk management strategies to be refined and targeted, mindful of the potential for spatial risk profiles to shift over time with changes in flying-fox species distribution.

Highlights

  • Hendra virus (HeV) is novel paramyxovirus first described in 1994 in Australia following an outbreak of highly lethal disease in horses and close-contact humans [1,2,3]

  • All reported cases have been in the neighbouring eastern Australian states of Queensland and New South Wales

  • A total of 14,988 pooled urine samples were collected from 50 roosts across 20° of latitude from Cairns in northern QLD to Bateman’s Bay in southern New South Wales (NSW), spanning maritime temperate, subtropical and tropical climates of eastern Australia

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Summary

Introduction

Hendra virus (HeV) is novel paramyxovirus first described in 1994 in Australia following an outbreak of highly lethal disease in horses and close-contact humans [1,2,3]. Halpin et al [10] identified flying-foxes as the putative natural reservoir of the virus in 1996, two years after the first reported equine cases; Field [11] subsequently elaborated the occurrence and frequency of infection in flying-foxes, and with others, provided initial insights into disease ecology [18, 19, 23,24,25,26]; Breed et al [27,28,29], Plowright et al [30, 31] and Edson et al [32, 33] further explored aspects of disease ecology. Several fundamental questions about the infection and excretion dynamics in flying-foxes and the factors associated with spillover from flying-foxes to horses remain unanswered [24, 25, 27, 34]

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