Abstract

In China, upper-level healthcare (ULHC) and lower-level healthcare (LLHC) provide different public medical and health services. Only when these two levels of healthcare resources are distributed equally and synergistically can the public’s demands for healthcare be met fairly. Despite a number of previous studies having analysed the spatial distribution of healthcare and its determinants, few have evaluated the differences in spatial equity between ULHC and LLHC and investigated their institutional, geographical and socioeconomic influences and spillover effects. This study aims to bridge this gap by analysing panel data on the two levels of healthcare resources in 31 Chinese provinces covering the period 2003–2015 using Moran’s I models and dynamic spatial Durbin panel models (DSDMs). The results indicate that, over the study period, although both levels of healthcare resources improved considerably in all regions, spatial disparities were large. The spatio-temporal characteristics of ULHC and LLHC differed, although both levels were relatively low to the north-west of the Hu Huanyong Line. DSDM analysis revealed direct and indirect effects at both short-and long-term scales for both levels of healthcare resources. Meanwhile, the influencing factors had different impacts on the different levels of healthcare resources. In general, long-term effects were greater for ULHC and short-term effects were greater for LLHC. The spillover effects of ULHC were more significant than those of LLHC. More specifically, industrial structure, traffic accessibility, government expenditure and family healthcare expenditure were the main determinants of ULHC, while industrial structure, urbanisation, topography, traffic accessibility, government expenditure and family healthcare expenditure were the main determinants of LLHC. These findings have important implications for policymakers seeking to optimize the availability of the two levels of healthcare resources.

Highlights

  • Healthcare policymakers optimise the location and organisation of public healthcare resources according to a trade-off between spatial equity and cost-effectiveness

  • The opposite was true for upper-level healthcare (ULHC); the growth rate in the developed eastern regions had been extremely high. These results indicate that level healthcare (LLHC) tended to be distributed more than ULHC

  • This study explored the spatio-temporal distributions of the two levels of public healthcare resources that exist in China by applying Moran’s I method

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Summary

Introduction

Healthcare policymakers optimise the location and organisation of public healthcare resources according to a trade-off between spatial equity and cost-effectiveness. Due to the unordered pattern of medical treatment, upper-level hospitals are always overcrowded, while lower-level health centres have fewer patients This situation increases medical costs, wastes healthcare resources and lowers healthcare efficiency. To solve this problem, to develop hierarchical diagnosis and treatment (HDT) system initiated in 2015 has become a main objective of the Chinese healthcare reform [2]. The lower-level healthcare (LLHC) perform first diagnoses, rehabilitation therapy and basic public health services [3,4] When these two levels of healthcare resources are distributed and synergistically can investment in public health be utilised efficiently and people’s demands for healthcare met fairly.

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