Abstract
The leaf crown borer Eupalamides cyparissias (Fabricius, 1777) is an agricultural pest that deserves attention in the cultivation of coconut (Cocos nucifera L.) and other economically important palm trees (Areacaceae). Several studies address the use of geostatistics to understand the attack of pest insects in agriculture, but there are no studies on the spatial and temporal patterns of E. cyparissias in coconut trees. The presence or absence of the borer was verified monthly in all coconut plants of a plot measuring 12.5 hectares, from July 2018 to October 2020. The occurrence of the borer was verified by the appearance of two main symptoms in the coconut trees. Dispersion patterns of E. cyparissias were studied using semivariograms to determine the most suitable spatial distribution model for the species. Kriging maps were created. Exponential and spherical semivariogram models showed the best fit to the patterns of spatial dispersion of the borer, showing that the attack on the coconut plantation occurs in an aggregate, and in foci, with a range of 20 to 160 metres. The climatic data had no significant correlation with the infestation rate. These results show that geostatistics are an important tool to define reliable sampling plans for integrated pest management. It is useful to assess the spatial and temporal distribution of E. cyparissias
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