Abstract

A spatially explicit management strategy is presented for Kirtland’s Warbler (Setophaga kirtlandii) habitat on the Hiawatha National Forest in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula. The Hiawatha National Forest has a goal of continuously providing large patches of dense young jack pine for Kirtland’s warbler breeding habitat. The problem is challenging as patches of suitable habitat are relatively short lived, forcing large shifts in the location of large patches in the future. In this study, alternative management strategies for providing habitat are described, explicitly mapped, and compared on a 70,600 ha landscape in the context of implementing many desired conditions of the forest’s land management plan. Strategies are developed by using two interacting scheduling models. Comparisons address overall habitat levels, habitat spatial arrangement through time, and financial trade-offs. The financial cost of managing habitat is high and there are further financial trade-offs associated with aggregating habitat into large patches. Furthermore, the marginal cost of habitat increases as more habitat is added to the management system. Managers may use information about the added costs of spatially explicit habitat management to help evaluate the added benefits to the species. It is often expensive to establish wildlife habitat and desirable ecological conditions, but results show that there are potential benefits from using detailed computer-aided management scheduling tools to support the decision-making process.

Highlights

  • DualPlan was used to estimate the marginal value of desired conditions, and DPSpace used these values to schedule stands in a spatial context, in this instance to achieve the core area constraints for Kirtland’s warbler habitat

  • The DualPlan/DPSpace modeling system was successful in scheduling the core area habitat through time for all three scenarios (Figure 3)

  • The long-term financial cost of habitat is measured as the difference between the Benchmark 1 (B1) and Benchmark 2 (B2) benchmarks, which results in a 46% reduction in net present value (NPV)

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Summary

Introduction

The Kirtland’s warbler (Setophaga kirtlandii) breeding range is one of the smallest regions of any mainland bird in the continental United States [1]. Since monitoring began in 1951, over 98% of the population has been detected in jack pine (Pinus banksiana) stands in Lower Michigan, and since 2000, 86% of the population has been detected in just five counties [2]. The Kirtland’s warbler was listed as endangered in 1973 on the initial list of the Federal Endangered Species Act (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq) until it was delisted in 2019. Active habitat management has proven to be an effective recovery strategy.

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