Abstract

Monitoring lakes in high-latitude areas can provide a better understanding of freshwater systems sensitivity and accrete knowledge on climate change impacts. Phytoplankton are sensitive to various conditions: warmer temperatures, earlier ice-melt and changing nutrient sources. While satellite imagery can monitor phytoplankton biomass using chlorophyll a (Chl) as a proxy over large areas, detection of Chl in small lakes is hindered by the low spatial resolution of conventional ocean color satellites. The short time-series of the newest generation of space-borne sensors (e.g., Sentinel-2) is a bottleneck for assessing long-term trends. Although previous studies have evaluated the use of high-resolution sensors for assessing lakes’ Chl, it is still unclear how the spatial and temporal variability of Chl concentration affect the performance of satellite estimates. We discuss the suitability of Landsat (LT) 30 m resolution imagery to assess lakes’ Chl concentrations under varying trophic conditions, across extensive high-latitude areas in Finland. We use in situ data obtained from field campaigns in 19 lakes and generate remote sensing estimates of Chl, taking advantage of the long-time span of the LT-5 and LT-7 archives, from 1984 to 2017. Our results show that linear models based on LT data can explain approximately 50% of the Chl interannual variability. However, we demonstrate that the accuracy of the estimates is dependent on the lake’s trophic state, with models performing in average twice as better in lakes with higher Chl concentration (>20 µg/L) in comparison with less eutrophic lakes. Finally, we demonstrate that linear models based on LT data can achieve high accuracy (R2 = 0.9; p-value < 0.05) in determining lakes’ mean Chl concentration, allowing the mapping of the trophic state of lakes across large regions. Given the long time-series and high spatial resolution, LT-based estimates of Chl provide a tool for assessing the impacts of environmental change.

Highlights

  • High latitude lakes are considered sentinels for a climate in change, due to their coupling with ice phenology, response to changes in humidity and precipitation patterns, and the high sensitivity of photosynthetic organisms to changing temperatures [1,2]

  • Model and Variable Selection RemoOtefSaenlsl.m20o20d,e1l2s, xdeFOriRvePdEEtRhrRoEuVgIEhWintra-annual data, the best performance was achieved with a8bouf ff22er orfe7s0u0ltms oafntdhea LtiEmAe-PwSinexdhoawusotfiv±e1vdaaryiafbrolemsethaercshataerlelitperaecsqeunitseidtioinn.FFigour rthei4s.cTohnfie gRu2rvatairoined, thfreormesu0.l1ts6, ouf sthinegLoEnAlyPSoneexheaxupsltainvaetvoaryriavbalreiasbelaerc(hbaanredp4r-esNeInRte),dtoin0F.5ig5,uuresi4n.gTahlel pRo2svsiabrlieedbafrnodms a0n.1d6,inudsiincgeso. nTlhye ohniegehxepstlaRn2atvoarlyuveacroiaubllde,etdo 0w.5h5e,nuseixncgluadllinpgosbsiabnledb2an(gdrseaennd) iannddiciensc.lTuhdeinhgigahllesottRhe2r vvaalurieacboleusl.dTahlseoBbIeCavcahliuevesedvawriheednferxocmlu-d3i0n,gubsainngd o2n(lgyrebeann)dan4d, tion−cl1u5d0i,nugsianllgobthaenrdvsa1r,ia3b, l4esa.nTdh5e

  • We showed that the signal-to-noise ratio on the remotely sensed chlorophyll a (Chl) is higher on the spring and summer period for eutrophic lakes

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Summary

Introduction

High latitude lakes are considered sentinels for a climate in change, due to their coupling with ice phenology, response to changes in humidity and precipitation patterns, and the high sensitivity of photosynthetic organisms to changing temperatures [1,2]. Earth Observation satellites have been designed and launched with the specific purpose of studying phytoplankton from space with sensors suited to the assessment of aquatic ecosystems. NASA’s Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-View Sensor (SeaWiFS), launched in August 1997 onboard the SeaStar satellite, collected data until 2010 at a resolution of 1.1 km. The Terra and Aqua Satellites both collect data through the 36-band MODIS sensor at wavelengths between 0.41 and 14.24 μm applicable to extensive ocean color algorithms [5]. The Ocean and Land Colour Instruments (OCLI) are collecting data at wavelengths from 0.4 μm to 1.02 μm at 21 spectral bands, allowing for algal pigment discrimination and the further development of phytoplankton functional types characterization from space [6]. The resolution of the new OCLI sensor is 300 m, which is not suitable for studying lakes smaller than 30 ha

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