Abstract

The logistics industry plays a great role in the sustainable economic development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB). This paper measures the total factor productivity (TFP) of the logistics industry by using the DEA-Malmquist index method and analyzes its spatial-temporal evolution characteristics based on panel data of 11 provinces and cities in the YREB in 2003–2017. Lastly, a spatial autocorrelation analysis was conducted in conjunction with the exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) model. The results show that the overall development of the logistics industry has been relatively good, with an inverted “N” shape trend over the years. Technological progress is the main reason for the growth of TFP. From a regional perspective, it shows a spatial distribution pattern of high in the east and low in the west, with an overall upward trend of TFP levels. The spatial correlation between the TFP levels of logistics in each province and city is gradually increasing, but coordinated development between regions is still limited. Finally, according to the conclusions, policy recommendations are proposed to accelerate the coordinated development of regional logistics and the innovative development of the modern logistics industry.

Highlights

  • Since the beginning of the 21st century, China’s economy has developed rapidly, and the logistics industry (LI) has become a pillar industry for economic growth, receiving great attention from the government and enterprises

  • Based on the data envelopment analysis (DEA)-Malmquist and exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) model, this paper analyzes the spatialtemporal evolution of LITFP in 11 provinces and cities of Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) from 2003 to 2017

  • The research conclusions of this article are as follows: (1) The overall development of LI in the YREB is relatively good, with an inverted N-shaped trend over the years, and there is room for growth. It can be seen from the empirical analysis that technological progress (TC) is the main reason for the increase in LITFP

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Summary

Introduction

Since the beginning of the 21st century, China’s economy has developed rapidly, and the logistics industry (LI) has become a pillar industry for economic growth, receiving great attention from the government and enterprises. As the basic industry and service industry of national economic and social development [1,2], the development level of LI has become an important symbol for measuring the comprehensive strength of a country or region. The Medium and Long-Term Planning of Logistics Development (2014–2020) released by the State Council in 2014 states that, by 2020, the added value of LI will increase by about. Accelerating the development of the modern logistics industry is of great significance in promoting industrial restructuring [6], transforming the mode of development, and improving the competitiveness of the national economy

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