Abstract

Ecological vulnerability, as an important evaluation method reflecting regional ecological status and the degree of stability, is the key content in global change and sustainable development. Most studies mainly focus on changes of ecological vulnerability concerning the temporal trend, but rarely take arid and semi-arid areas into consideration to explore the spatial heterogeneity of the ecological vulnerability index (EVI) there. In this study, we selected the Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region on the Loess Plateau of China, a typical arid and semi-arid area, as a case to investigate the spatial heterogeneity of the EVI every five years, from 1990 to 2015. Based on remote sensing data, meteorological data, and economic statistical data, this study first evaluated the temporal‒spatial change of ecological vulnerability in the study area by Geo-information Tupu. Further, we explored the spatial heterogeneity of the ecological vulnerability using Getis-Ord Gi*. Results show that: (1) the regions with high ecological vulnerability are mainly concentrated in the north of the study area, which has high levels of economic growth, while the regions with low ecological vulnerability are mainly distributed in the relatively poor regions in the south of the study area. (2) From 1990 to 2015, ecological vulnerability showed an increasing trend in the study area. Additionally, there is significant transformation between different grades of the EVI, where the area of transformation between a slight vulnerability level and a light vulnerability level accounts for 41.56% of the transformation area. (3) Hot-spot areas of the EVI are mainly concentrated in the north of the study area, and cold-spot areas are mainly concentrated in the center and south of the study area. Spatial heterogeneity of ecological vulnerability is significant in the central and southern areas but insignificant in the north of the study area. (4) The grassland area is the main driving factor of the change in ecological vulnerability, which is also affected by both arid and semi-arid climates and ecological projects. This study can provide theoretical references for sustainable development to present feasible suggestions on protection measures and management modes in arid and semi-arid areas.

Highlights

  • Ecological vulnerability, which refers to the self-recovery ability of ecosystems when they suffer disturbances at a specific temporal scale [1], has been an important concept for reflecting the deviation degree from the original ecological condition under the external interferences [2,3]

  • The objectives of this study are to: (1) analyze changes of ecological vulnerability in Ningxia, (2) visualize the spatial-temporal transformation of ecological vulnerability in Ningxia based on Geo-information Tupu, (3) explore the spatial heterogeneity of ecological vulnerability based on Getis-Ord Gi*, and (4) detect the driving factors of ecological vulnerability by spatial principal component analysis (SPCA)

  • Spatial distribution of ecological vulnerability of the Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region in an arid and semi-arid region was studied by using Tupu and Getis-Ord Gi*

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Summary

Introduction

Ecological vulnerability, which refers to the self-recovery ability of ecosystems when they suffer disturbances at a specific temporal scale [1], has been an important concept for reflecting the deviation degree from the original ecological condition under the external interferences [2,3]. Studies have shown that the SPCA method, which is based on principal component analysis (PCA) and spatial feature extraction, has advantages in ecological vulnerability assessment [1,15,16]. One advantage of this method is that the SPCA adds spatial constraints to the traditional PCA and considers the spatial dependence in data sets. This method has been widely used to describe the characteristics of changes in ecological vulnerability in arid and semi-arid areas because of its advantages in being good for map and comparison services [17,18]

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