Abstract
Against the background of coordinated development of the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region, it is of great significance to quantitatively reveal the contribution rate of the influencing factors of urban land for optimizing the layout of urban land across regions and innovating the inter-regional urban land supply linkage. However, the interaction effects and spatial effects decomposition have not been well investigated in the existing research studies on this topic. In this study, based on the cross-sectional data in 2015 and using the spatial lag model, spatial error model and spatial Durbin model, we analyzed the relationship between urban land and regional economic development at the county level in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region. The results show that: (1) there are endogenous interaction effects of urban land, and the growth of urban land in a county will drive the corresponding growth of urban land in neighboring counties; (2) the local population, average wages, highway mileage density, and actual utilization of foreign capital have positive effects on the scale of urban land in local and neighboring counties; local GDP in the secondary/tertiary sector and the urbanization rate have positive effects on local urban land scale, but negative effects on the urban land scale of neighboring counties; (3) the contribution degree of the direct effect is ranked as follows: GDP in the secondary/tertiary sector > total population > urbanization rate. The order of factors with a significant spatial spillover effect on the scale of urban land in neighboring counties is as follows: average wages > total population > highway mileage density. The GDP in secondary/tertiary sector, population, and urbanization rate are the main influencing factors for the scale of urban land at the county level in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region. It is an important finding that average wages are the most prominent among the spatial spillovers. We should attach importance to the spillover effect of geographic space and construct an urban spatial pattern coordinated with economic development.
Highlights
The city is a large-scale residential area formed by the agglomeration of socioeconomic activities, dominated by non-agricultural industries and the agglomeration of non-agricultural population.In November 2014, the Chinese State Council defined a new standard for classifying cities
The three different kinds of interactions in a spatial econometric model are divided into endogenous interaction effects between the explained variable (Y), exogenous interaction effects between the explanatory variables (X), and interaction effects between the error terms (ε)
The spatial lag model (SLM) contains endogenous interaction effects, and its motive is that the urban land of a spatial unit depends on the urban land of adjacent spatial units
Summary
The city is a large-scale residential area formed by the agglomeration of socioeconomic activities, dominated by non-agricultural industries and the agglomeration of non-agricultural population.In November 2014, the Chinese State Council defined a new standard for classifying cities. Cities attract a large number of immigrants from rural areas due to the higher income and increased job opportunities [5,6]. These migrations, and the growth of the urban population itself, led to a dramatic increase in the urban population. The increase in the urban population and its desire for better housing will inevitably lead to the expansion of urban land. The land occupied by these supporting facilities is an important reason for the expansion of urban land. Urban expansion provides land for urban development and effectively supports socioeconomic development [11]. It is of extraordinary significance to obtain the boundary of urban built-up areas and analyze the influencing factors of the urban land scale to protect limited cultivated land resources and promote the sustainable development of the urban ecological environment [29]
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