Abstract

ABSTRACT In closed buses, the spread of droplets with viruses/bacteria may cause the spread of respiratory infectious diseases. Discrete phase modeling is used to simulate the diffusion characteristics and concentration distribution of droplets at different temperatures and different exhalation positions by ANSYS FLUENT software. The integral concentration of droplets at different locations can be quantified, which leads to identification of low-risk areas and high-risk areas in the bus. Results show that a higher outdoor temperature leads to lower droplets’ diffusion speed and longer time until the droplets reach the driver. In addition, based on the integral concentration of droplets at the seats, regardless of whether a passenger exhales droplets in the front row of the bus, the position of the rear door or the last row of the bus, the seats in the last row of the bus away from the door belong to the low-risk area. In contrast, the seats near the door and the middle seat in the bus are higher risk areas. Consequently, this study proposed sitting on a seat in the low-risk area as a means to reduce the risk of passengers. Moreover, safety protection facilities around the driver should be modified to improve the isolation of the upper area of the driver’s location, so as to effectively prevent the droplet diffusion towards the driver, thereby effectively reducing the driver’s risk of infection.

Highlights

  • In recent years, airborne diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), avian and swine flu (H1N1), and new coronavirus pneumonia (COVID-19) have significantly increased, which may cause serious public health and financial burdens on society (WHO, 2020)

  • A numerical model based on a practical case was established to analyze the effect of the outdoor temperature and the exhalation position on the diffusion of droplets in the bus

  • Four outdoor temperatures (5°C, 15°C, 25°C, 35°C) and four exhalation positions are considered in the study

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Summary

Introduction

Airborne diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), avian and swine flu (H1N1), and new coronavirus pneumonia (COVID-19) have significantly increased, which may cause serious public health and financial burdens on society (WHO, 2020). As of March 30, 2021, the cumulative number of patients diagnosed with COVID-19 was more than 128 million, and the cumulative death toll exceeded 2.79 million (National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, 2020). At this stage, droplet transmission has been proven to be a dominant way of respiratory disease transmission among people, which can spread a variety of infectious diseases such as influenza and SARS-CoV-2 (Stilianakis and Drossinos, 2010; Vuorinena et al, 2020; Xu et al, 2020). COVID-19 is primarily transmitted human-to-human via respiratory aerosols (Rahman et al, 2020). Studies have found that air circulation is poor in a confined space, which causes droplets to remain suspended in the indoor environment for longer, making people exposed to this environment more likely to be exposed to and infected with the virus (Bartzis et al, 2015; Zhou et al, 2018)

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