Abstract
Studying the factors that influence the expansion of different types of construction land is instrumental in formulating targeted policies and regulations, and can reduce or prevent the negative impacts of unreasonable land use changes. Using land use survey data of Beijing (2001 and 2010), an autologistic model quantitatively analyzed the leading driving forces and differences in four types of construction land expansion (industrial, residential, public service, and commercial land types), focusing on the impact of spatial autocorrelation. The results showed that the influencing factors vary greatly for different types of construction land expansion; the same factor may have a different impact on different construction land, and both planning factors and spatial autocorrelation variables have a significant positive effect on the four types. Accordingly, the municipal government should consider the differences in the expansion mechanisms and driving forces of different construction land and formulate suitable planning schemes, observe the impact of spatial autocorrelation on construction land expansion, and guide spatial agglomeration through policies while appropriately controlling the scale of expansion. The methods and policy recommendations of this research are significant for urban land expansion research and policy formulations in other transition economies and developing countries.
Highlights
Urban expansion—as a considerable and universal phenomenon and a powerful force—has caused the most irreversible and artificial changes to global land use structures and landscape patterns [1,2]
Studying the driving forces of urban land expansion is extremely significant for formulating effective urban growth management policies and reducing or preventing the negative impact of unreasonable urban land expansion, urban spatial structure, and sustainable development [6,7]
The mechanism of urban land expansion and its driving force in the formulation of effective urban land use containment policies are worthy of research
Summary
Urban expansion—as a considerable and universal phenomenon and a powerful force—has caused the most irreversible and artificial changes to global land use structures and landscape patterns [1,2]. Rapid urban expansion has improved the level of economic development and profoundly affected the surrounding rural areas, resulting in the transformation of urban–rural relationships and land use structures [3] and a series of problems, such as urban traffic congestion, air pollution, housing shortages, and high housing prices [4,5]. Studying the driving forces of urban land expansion is extremely significant for formulating effective urban growth management policies and reducing or preventing the negative impact of unreasonable urban land expansion, urban spatial structure, and sustainable development [6,7]. The mechanism of urban land expansion and its driving force in the formulation of effective urban land use containment policies are worthy of research
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