Abstract

Estimation of the spatial and temporal trends of health impacts attributable to air pollution is an effective measure for evaluating implemented interventions. The aim of this study was to estimate the short-term mortality attributable to exposure to PM2.5 among individuals older than 30 years old in ten Iranian cities from March 2013 to March 2016 using the World Health Organization’s (WHO) AirQ+ software. Hourly concentrations of PM2.5 were acquired from the Department of Environment and Tehran Air Quality Control Company. Only stations with 75% and 50% of valid data were qualified for Tehran and other cities, respectively. The annual average PM2.5 concentrations in all ten of the cities were higher than the WHO guideline value of 10 µg m–3. The total number of attributable short-term deaths during the three-year period in these 10 cities was 3284 (95% CI: 1207–5244). The average daily premature deaths were calculated to be 3. The highest number of premature deaths within the three-year period was estimated to be 548 in Tehran, largely reflecting its population of nearly 9 million. The western and southern cities of Iran experience severe dust storms and showed a high estimated rate of death attributed to air pollution. The health impacts in all cities decreased in the third year compared to the first year except for Ahvaz, Khoram Abad, and Ilam. Governmental interventions need to be enforced more effectively to reduce the high level of adverse health impacts in Iran. Special considerations should be given to the air quality of cities affected by dust storms.

Highlights

  • Over the past several decades, many studies have reported adverse human health effects from exposure to airHopke et al, Aerosol and Air Quality Research, 18: 497–504, 2018 less (PM2.5) is a more robust mortality-related exposure metric than particulate matter (PM) with an aerodynamic diameter of 10 μm or less (PM10) (USEPA, 2012).Estimation of attributable health impacts of air pollution can clarify the economic and health burden of air pollutants for a given country (World Bank, 2016)

  • Special considerations should be given to the air quality of cities affected by dust storms

  • The results showed that the reduction in longterm exposure to PM10 concentrations by 5 μg m–3 would have prevented between 3300 and 7700 premature deaths annually, 500 to 1000 of which were associated with shortterm exposure (Medina et al, 2004)

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Summary

Introduction

Over the past several decades, many studies have reported adverse human health effects from exposure to airHopke et al, Aerosol and Air Quality Research, 18: 497–504, 2018 less (PM2.5) is a more robust mortality-related exposure metric than PM with an aerodynamic diameter of 10 μm or less (PM10) (USEPA, 2012).Estimation of attributable health impacts of air pollution can clarify the economic and health burden of air pollutants for a given country (World Bank, 2016). Aerosol and Air Quality Research, 18: 497–504, 2018 less (PM2.5) is a more robust mortality-related exposure metric than PM with an aerodynamic diameter of 10 μm or less (PM10) (USEPA, 2012). AirQ+ is a software tool for quantifying the health impacts of air pollution developed by the WHO Regional Office for Europe. The software can handle different air pollutants, such as PM2.5, PM10, NO2, O3, and black carbon (BC). This software has been developed to assess the effects of long-term and short-term exposure to ambient air pollution. The underlying scientific evidence on health effects from ambient air pollution used in the software is derived mainly from epidemiological studies conducted in Western Europe and North America (Mudu et al, 2016)

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