Abstract

Crustal pore pressure, which controls the activities of earthquakes and volcanoes, varies in response to rainfall. The status of pore pressure can be inferred from observed changes in seismic velocity. In this study, we investigate the response of crustal pore pressure to rainfall in southwestern Japan based on time series of seismic velocity derived from ambient noise seismic interferometry. To consider the heterogeneity of the area, rainfall and seismic velocity obtained at each location were directly compared. We used a band-pass filter to distinguish the rainfall variability from sea level and atmospheric pressure, and then calculated the cross-correlation between rainfall and variations in S-wave velocity (Vs). A mostly negative correlation between rainfall and Vs changes indicates groundwater recharge by rainfall, which increases pore pressure. The correlations differ between locations, where most of the observation stations with clear negative cross-correlations were located in areas of granite. On the other hand, we could not observe clear correlations in steep mountain areas, possibly because water flows through river without percolation. This finding suggests that geographical features contribute to the imprint of rainfall on deep formation pore pressure. We further modelled pore pressure change due to rainfall based on diffusion mechanism. A strong negative correlation between pore pressure estimated from rainfall and Vs indicates that the Vs variations are triggered by pore pressure diffusion in the deep formation. Our modelling results show a spatial variation of diffusion parameter which controls the pore pressure in deep formation. By linking the variations in seismic velocity and crustal pore pressure spatially, this study shows that seismic monitoring may be useful in evaluating earthquake triggering processes or volcanic activity.

Highlights

  • Pore pressure plays a key role in the occurrence of earthquakes and the volcanic activities (Albino et al 2018; Ellsworth 2013; Tsuji et al 2014)

  • For most stations there is a negative correlation between rainfall events and seismic velocity changes (Fig. 7a, b); a few stations had positive correlations (Fig. 7c)

  • The status of pore pressure changes associated with rainfall can be evaluated by monitoring the seismic velocity

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Summary

Introduction

Pore pressure plays a key role in the occurrence of earthquakes and the volcanic activities (Albino et al 2018; Ellsworth 2013; Tsuji et al 2014). Changes in seismic velocity can be induced by various environmental perturbations (Wang et al 2017) because seismic velocity is sensitive to variations in stress and water saturation (Grêt et al 2006). Such perturbations include ocean tides and solid earth tides (Sens-Schönfelder and Eulenfeld 2019), and seismic. Atmospheric pressure influences seismic velocity over large regions (Niu et al 2008; Silver et al 2007), and atmospheric temperature likewise generates seasonal variations in seismic velocity through changes in crustal strain (Ben-Zion and Leary 1986; Berger 1975; Prawirodirdjo et al 2006), especially in arid regions (Hillers et al 2015; Richter et al 2014)

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