Abstract
AbstractLocal, short‐duration extreme precipitation events can cause floodings and have massive economic consequences. The climate change impact on such events is of great interest, but due to the small spatio‐temporal scales involved, these are challenging to properly represent in climate models. This study analyses a new sub‐kilometre (750 m) HARMONIE‐Climate model simulation driven by ERA5 reanalysis data. Three convection‐permitting models at 750 m, 3 and 5 km grid distance are analysed and compared with driving reanalyses, intermediate model simulations and a dense rain gauge network. The representation of convective events is analysed by a range of metrics categorised as spatial, temporal and event‐focused. Precipitation events are analysed at both hourly and sub‐hourly scales and a clear difference between model performance on these scales is found. Overall, we find a better performance for HCLIM750m for most metrics, yet the added benefits of the computationally intensive sub‐kilometre scale simulation seems limited compared to the convection‐permitting models at 3 and 5 km.
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