Space weather drivers in the ACE era

Abstract

We examine ACE observations of interplanetary disturbances and energetic particle activity for the period of solar maximum during solar cycle 23 and compare these measurements to the historical record as represented by the National Space Science Data Center Omnitape of near‐Earth observations. Magnetospheric response parameters, Dst and Kp, are similarly compared for the two epochs. We find that ACE observed an unexpectedly large number of the strongest transient events with the strength of magnetospheric drivers exceeding the historical record for the space flight era. This is not entirely true of the magnetospheric response, which demonstrates that the magnetospheric response is an integrated effect that is more subtle than examination of single hourly averages would indicate. For these and other reasons, we argue that satellites at L1 orbit, such as ACE, provide an excellent database for the study of magnetospheric storm drivers and their associated energetic particle populations from which space weather models may be refined. We also compare and contrast energetic particle measurements. While protons are a large space weather concern, heavy ions are also a radiation hazard for hardware in particular. We argue that heavy ion radiation predictions based on the measurements of protons are not reliable and that only by measuring the actual composition of the solar energetic particle population can we hope to understand and address the threat posed by these particles to machines and to obtain a more complete view of the radiation environment.