Solving the forecasting demand for specialists problem using fuzzy logic methods

Abstract

The article deals with the actual problem of one of the tasks of realization of personnel provision of a large industrial enterprise. At the beginning of the article the comparative analysis of methods of forecasting of dynamics of demand for specialists of the enterprise is given. On the basis of this analysis the possible approach to the solution of the problem of forecasting of personnel needs of an industrial enterprise is suggested. A possible formulation of the problem of forecasting the demand for specialists is given, the proposed formulation is based on the long-term experience of the authors of the article in educational institutions in Russia, as well as on the analysis of the data obtained when the authors communicate with employees of industrial enterprises. The urgency of solving the proposed problem is substantiated and the necessity of using fuzzy logic methods is argued. The method of demand forecasting is offered, the advantages of which are simplicity of use, sufficient efficiency in the presence of a sufficient number of statistics and convenience of realization in the form of a software product. The paper concludes with a brief assessment of the effectiveness and usability of the proposed method.