Abstract

There is increasing interest in the relation between the solar activity and climate change. Regarding the solar activity, the fractal property of the sunspot number (SSN) has been studied by many previous works. In general, fractal properties have been observed in the time series of the dynamics of complex systems. The purpose of this research is to investigate the relationship between the solar activity, total ozone, and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) from a viewpoint of multi-fractality. To detect the changes of multifractality, we performed the wavelets analysis, and plotted the τ-function derived from the wavelets of these time series. We showed that the solar activity relate to the NAO, by observing the matching in monofractality or multifractality of these indices. When the SSN increased and the solar activity was stable, the NAO also became stable. When the SSN became maximum, the fractality of the SSN, F10.7 flux, geomagnetic aa, and NAO indices changed from multifractality to monofractality and those states became stable for most of the solar cycles. When the SSN became maximum, the fluctuations became large and multifractality became strong, and a change from multifractal to monofractal behavior was observed in the SSN, F10.7 flux, geomagnetic aa, and NAO indices. The strong interactions of the solar flux, geomagnetic activity, total ozone, and NAO occur in the SSN maximum. The strong interactions were inferred from the similarity of fractality changes and the wavelet coherence. The influence of the solar activity on the NAO was shown from a viewpoint of multi-fractality. These findings will contribute to the research on the effects of the solar activity on climate change.

Highlights

  • The influence of solar activity on climate has been discussed for a long time

  • When the sunspot number (SSN) became maximum, the fractality of the SSN, F10.7 flux, geomagnetic aa, and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) indices changed from multifractality to monofractality and those states became stable for most of the solar cycles

  • To examine the influence of the solar activity on the NAO, we investigated the relation between the F10.7 flux and NAO index

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Summary

Introduction

The influence of solar activity on climate has been discussed for a long time. Even if we do not expect direct solar cycle impacts at Earth’s surface, a significant influence should be detected in the stratopause region [2]. Recent advances in reconstruction of the past climate with fine temporal resolution clarified the relation between the solar cycles and the monsoon rainfall in South Oman with multiple time scales from decadal to millennial [3]. A decadal variation of tropical lower stratospheric ozone and temperature has previously been identified that correlates positively with the 11-year solar activity cycle. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences lower stratospheric ozone and temperature [4]

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