Abstract

The twenty-first century is rapidly becoming the “perfect energy storm”; modern society is faced with volatile energy prices and growing environmental concerns, as well as energy supply and security issues. Today’s society was founded on hydrocarbon fuel—a finite resource that already is one of the main catalysts for international conflicts, which is likely to intensify in the future. The global energy appetite is enormous, representing over $6 trillion per year, or about 13% of global gross domestic product (GDP). Unfortunately, the vast majority of this energy is not efficiently utilized for buildings, vehicles, or industry. This is especially true in the United States, which has about double the per-capita and GDP energy usage rates as compared to the European Union and Japan. The inefficient use of energy strongly exacerbates the global energy crisis. It is time to shed the outdated “burn, baby, burn” hydrocarbon energy thinking with a new energy vision; the time for clean energy solutions is here. Only through energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies can modern civilization extricate itself from the gathering perfect energy storm. The new global energy realities have brought the highest energy prices in history. Sustained price volatility will continue, with large spikes and drops of energy prices tracking global economic trends. Peak oil is predicted by many within the next decade. The North American energy infrastructure and workforce are aging. China and India are now new global energy customers causing major impacts on primary fuel prices. By 2030, China is projected to import as much oil as the United States does now. Trigger events such as blackouts, hurricanes, floods, and fires further increase volatility due to tight supplies. Food, metal, and transportation prices are rising as a result of increased energy demand. In addition to costs and availability of fossil fuels, a worse panorama results from counting the increase of the millions of tons per year of carbon dioxide emissions—the main gas precursor of the greenhouse effect. Future CO2 emission increments will be originated mainly in developing countries as population and industry grow. The current CO2 average concentration in the atmosphere is about 400 parts per million (ppm)—the highest ever experienced by the Earth. Maintaining as much reliance on fossil fuels as today, by 2050, such concentration may exceed 700 or 800 ppm. At higher concentration, the few degrees gained in Earth’s average temperature exert several grave impacts on food safety, water, the ecosystem, and the environment. Currently, only half a Celsius degree increase has been enough for catastrophic natural disasters to occur. To limit sea level rise to only 1 m and species loss to 20% by the end of this century, additional warming must be limited to 1°C. This means stabilizing atmospheric CO2 at about 450–500 ppm. The United States is the second largest emitter of CO2 emissions after China. The United States currently emits 23% of global CO2 and needs to reduce CO2 by 60 to 80% by midcentury. If the Greenland ice sheet melted, global sea level would rise 7 m; if East and West Antarctica ice sheets melt, sea levels would rise an additional 70 m. Through the widespread burning of fossil fuels, humanity is creating the largest ecological disaster since the disappearance of the dinosaurs.

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