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Abstract
The article describes the role of high-quality human capital in the modern economy, socioeconomic, and demographic trends in the regions. The research has revealed a certain relationship and mutual influence of economic and social factors on demographic trends. The assessment of the efficiency of the functioning of social sectors at the all-Russian Federal level and in the Ural Federal District revealed a low level of resource provision, insufficient investment in education and healthcare, which affects the state of fixed assets, leads to a low capital-labour ratio, and lags in terms of labour productivity in these sectors compared to indicators on average for the country's economy. An insufficient level of efficiency of the social sphere affects the social and demographic indicators. On the example of Russia and the Ural Federal District, a stable mutual influence of the economic situation and social aspects of population reproduction is shown. For a quantitative assessment of the relationship between economic, social and demographic processes in the Ural Federal District, indicators were selected for 6 subjects of the Ural Federal District for 2000-2018, the calculation was made using the methods of correlation and regression analysis, the coefficient of natural population growth was chosen as the main indicator characterizing the demographic trends. The model of the impact of socioeconomic indicators on demographic trends in the subjects of the Ural Federal Districts were built. With the unconditional impact of the incidence rate on the change in natural population growth, significant values were obtained for the following factors: an increase in the expenditures of the budgets of territorial compulsory health insurance funds, an increase in the share of the working-age population, an improvement in the welfare of the population, which contributes to an increase in average life expectancy, a reduction in mortality, and acceleration of demographic processes in the regions
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