Abstract

Seasonal variation exists in disease incidence. The variation could occur across the different regions in a country. This paper argues that using national household data that are not adjusted for seasonal and regional variations in disease incidence may not be directly suitable for assessing socio‐economic inequality in annual outpatient service utilisation, including for cross‐country comparison. In fact, annual health service utilisation may be understated or overstated depending on the period of data collection. This may lead to miss‐estimation of socio‐economic inequality in health service utilisation depending, among other things, on how health service utilisation, across geographical areas, varies by socio‐economic status. Using a nationally representative dataset from South Africa, the paper applies a seasonality index that is constructed from the District Health Information System, an administrative dataset, to annualise public outpatient health service visits. Using the concentration index, socio‐economic inequality in health service visits, after accounting for seasonal variations, was compared with that when seasonal variations are ignored. It was found that, in some cases, socio‐economic inequality in outpatient health service visits depends on the socio‐economic distribution of the seasonality index. This may justify the need to account for seasonal and geographical variations.

Highlights

  • Disease incidence may follow a seasonal pattern (Briet, 2002; Sauerborn, Nougtara, Hien, & Diesfeld, 1996)

  • Seasonality indices are in part necessary as household data collected for assessing inequality and inequity in health service utilisation are mainly cross‐sectional and often use a fixed recall period

  • Using data from South Africa, this paper found that, after accounting for seasonal variations, socio‐economic inequality in outpatient health service visits depends on the socio‐economic distribution of the seasonality index only in a few cases

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Summary

Introduction

Disease incidence may follow a seasonal pattern (Briet, 2002; Sauerborn, Nougtara, Hien, & Diesfeld, 1996). This is not limited to infectious diseases where such seasonal variation is well documented (Altizer et al, 2006; Grassly & Fraser, 2006). Seasonality indices are in part necessary as household data collected for assessing inequality and inequity in health service utilisation are mainly cross‐sectional and often use a fixed recall period. These surveys are conducted within a particular time of the year, corresponding to different seasons in different regions or countries. The Demographic and Health Surveys are examples of household survey data that collect information on health service utilisation (see McIntyre & Ataguba, 2011, for a discussion on some issues relating to the use of different datasets for health inequality/equity analysis)

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