Abstract
Evidence shows that multiple factors, such as socio-economic status and access to health care facilities, affect tuberculosis (TB) incidence. However, there is limited literature available with respect to the correlation between socio-economic/health facility factors and tuberculosis incidence. This study aimed to explore the relationship between TB incidence and socio-economic/health service predictors in the study settings. A retrospective spatial regression analysis was carried out based on new sputum smear-positive pulmonary TB cases in Beijing districts. Global Moran’s I analysis was adopted to detect the spatial dependency followed by spatial regression models (spatial lag model, and spatial error model) along with the ordinary least square model were applied to examine the correlation between TB incidence and predictors. A high incidence of TB was seen in densely populated districts in Beijing, e.g., Haidian, Mentougou, and Xicheng. After comparing the R2, log-likelihood, and Akaike information criterion (AIC) values among three models, the spatial error model (R2 = 0.413; Log Likelihood = −591; AIC = 1199.76) identified the best model fit for the spatial regression model. The study showed that the number of beds in health institutes (p < 0.001) and per capita gross domestic product (GDP) (p = 0.025) had a positive effect on TB incidence, whereas population density (p < 0.001) and migrated population (p < 0.001) had an adverse impact on TB incidence in the study settings. High TB incidence districts were detected in urban and densely populated districts in Beijing. Our findings suggested that socio-economic predictors influence TB incidence. These findings may help to guide TB control programs and promote targeted intervention.
Highlights
Tuberculosis (TB) is a chronic infectious bacterial disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, which mostly affects the lungs, it can affect other organs and parts of the body
Our finding suggests that the population density per 3 km distance, permanent resident population, and migrant population had a negative correlation with TB incidence, those factors were positively associated with
This study investigated socio-economic predictors and distribution of smear-positive tuberculosis in the Beijing region
Summary
Tuberculosis (TB) is a chronic infectious bacterial disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, which mostly affects the lungs, it can affect other organs and parts of the body. It is a curable and preventable disease, which is transferred via air (through droplets of a cough or saliva of actively infected patients) [1,2]. One of the most populated cities in the world, has more than 21 million permanent residents and over 7 million migrants residing there [16]
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