Abstract
Supported by the Regional capital project for Afar Pastoral and Agro-Pastoral Research Institute (APARI). Abstract This research used data from 210 pastoralists and agro-pastoralists that were randomly selected from three Weredas of Afar region by following a multi-stage sampling procedure. Data were analysed using both descriptive statistical methods and econometric model. First, to assess the factors influencing the risk perception of the household regarding environment, index was developed in a Likert scale fashion and regressed to the hypothesized explanatory variables using order probit regression model. The odds ratio and marginal effects of each outcome variables were computed after estimation. The latent variable pastoralist exposure to environmental risks is increasing with age of household and education level increase. The results may suggest that the influence of significant socio-economic characteristics must be well revised to decrease the risky life of pastoralists in the study area. Keywords : Afar pastoralists, risk perception, order probit DOI: 10.7176/JESD/11-5-07 Publication date: March 31 st 2020
Highlights
Risk is assumed as an inseparable event in every day today activities
Most humans engage in some kind of dangerous events every day and this ubiquity has prompted a substantial effort within researchers to understand how people understand risk
In any definite situation, an adverse outcome may or may not occur and causative factors skew the probabilities of diverse outcomes (Graham and Rhomberg, 1996)
Summary
Risk is assumed as an inseparable event in every day today activities. Most humans engage in some kind of dangerous events every day and this ubiquity has prompted a substantial effort within researchers to understand how people understand risk. Risk has been defined in a number of ways, but is often seen as the likelihood that an individual will experience the effect of danger (Short Jr, 1984) Wherever it is discussed, it seems to be a consensus about essence of risk as being consisting of the probability of an adverse event and the magnitude of its consequences (Rayner and Cantor, 1987). It seems to be a consensus about essence of risk as being consisting of the probability of an adverse event and the magnitude of its consequences (Rayner and Cantor, 1987) This definition may be adequate to define risk of engineering-type calculations, but quite misleading at a broader, more intractable, level of large-scale societal risk management. It “exists only in the mind; if a person’s knowledge was complete, that person would have no uncertainty” (Windschitl and Wells, 1996)
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