Abstract

Heatwaves cause thousands of deaths every year, yet the social impacts of heat are poorly measured. Temperature alone is not sufficient to measure impacts and “heatwaves” are defined differently in different cities/countries. This study used data from the microblogging platform Twitter to detect different scales of response and varying attitudes to heatwaves within the United Kingdom (UK), the United States of America (US) and Australia. At the country scale, the volume of heat-related Twitter activity increased exponentially as temperature increased. The initial social reaction differed between countries, with a larger response to heatwaves elicited from the UK than from Australia, despite the comparatively milder conditions in the UK. Language analysis reveals that the UK user population typically responds with concern for individual wellbeing and discomfort, whereas Australian and US users typically focus on the environmental consequences. At the city scale, differing responses are seen in London, Sydney and New York on governmentally defined heatwave days; sentiment changes predictably in London and New York over a 24-h period, while sentiment is more constant in Sydney. This study shows that social media data can provide robust observations of public response to heat, suggesting that social sensing of heatwaves might be useful for preparedness and mitigation.

Highlights

  • Heatwaves are predicted to increase in frequency, duration and intensity as a result of climate change [1]

  • All three plots demonstrate a strong positive correlation such that as the temperature increases the number of tweets discussing heatwaves increases exponentially (UK Pearson’s Coeff: 0.7836, p < 0.0001, United States of America (US) Pearson’s Coeff: 0.7556, p < 0.0001, Australia Pearson’s Coeff: 0.7218, p < 0.0001)

  • Another speculative explanation is through thermal discomfort, with Pyrgou and Santamouris [62] showing an exponential increase in mortality rates during heatwaves, which is potentially reflected through Twitter

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Summary

Introduction

Heatwaves are predicted to increase in frequency, duration and intensity as a result of climate change [1]. The impacts of heatwaves are wideranging, affecting human health (e.g., an estimated 70,000 additional deaths were caused by the 2003 European heatwave [3]), the natural environment (e.g., the 15 million hectare Russian forest fire during the 2010 heatwave [4]) and economic activity (e.g., economic losses of $2.4 trillion a year by 2030 are projected due to heat stress [5]). The impacts of heat on wellbeing are as significant. Liu et al [6] found a significant increase of mental illness related hospital admissions as a result of heatwaves. A meta-analysis conducted by Gao et al [7] found that each 1 ◦C increase in temperature was significantly associated with a 1% increase in suicide incidence

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