Abstract

Recent widespread adoption of electronic and pervasive technologies has enabled the study of human behavior at an unprecedented level, uncovering universal patterns underlying human activity, mobility, and interpersonal communication. In the present work, we investigate whether deviations from these universal patterns may reveal information about the socio-economical status of geographical regions. We quantify the extent to which deviations in diurnal rhythm, mobility patterns, and communication styles across regions relate to their unemployment incidence. For this we examine a country-scale publicly articulated social media dataset, where we quantify individual behavioral features from over 19 million geo-located messages distributed among more than 340 different Spanish economic regions, inferred by computing communities of cohesive mobility fluxes. We find that regions exhibiting more diverse mobility fluxes, earlier diurnal rhythms, and more correct grammatical styles display lower unemployment rates. As a result, we provide a simple model able to produce accurate, easily interpretable reconstruction of regional unemployment incidence from their social-media digital fingerprints alone. Our results show that cost-effective economical indicators can be built based on publicly-available social media datasets.

Highlights

  • Human behavior is closely intertwined with socioeconomical status, as many of our daily routines are driven by activities related to maintain, to improve, or afforded by such status [1,2,3]

  • This work serves as a proof of concept for how a wide range of behavioral features linked to socioeconomic behavior can be inferred from the digital traces that are left by publicly-available social media

  • We demonstrate that behavioral features related to unemployment can be recovered from the digital exhaust left by the microblogging network Twitter

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Summary

Introduction

Human behavior is closely intertwined with socioeconomical status, as many of our daily routines are driven by activities related to maintain, to improve, or afforded by such status [1,2,3]. From our movements around the city, to our daily schedules, to the communication with others, humans perform different actions along the day that reflect and impact their economical situation. The distribution of different individual behaviors across neighborhoods, municipalities, or cities impacts the economical development of those geographical areas, and in turn to that of the whole country [4,5,6,7,8,9]. Detecting patterns and quantifying relevant metrics to unveil the complex relationship between geography and collective behavior is of paramount importance for understanding the economical heart-beat of cities, and the structure of inter-city networks, and to economic planning, educational policy, urban planning, transportation design, and other large-scale societal problems [10,11,12,13,14].

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