Abstract
Objective: The impact of socio-economic factors on the increased incidence of chronic diseases requires changes in the policy of health authorities. In view of that, the study tried to investigate the role and consequences of those factors on T2DM and thus contribute to future development of comprehensive programmes for screening, diagnostics and treatment. Methods and materials: Forecasting the incidence rates of diabetes on a national and regional scale using regression analysis of results from municipal programs between 2015 and 2019 in Varna. The following models were studied: linear, cubic, quadratic, exponential, logarithmic, power, growth and inversion. Data processing and analysis were performed with the software set SPSS Statistics and graphical analysis with Microsoft Excel. Results: A constant rise in the number of diabetes cases was identified. At national level, mortality among females was higher than mortality in males, while at local level (Varna), such correlation was not established. Costs for the studied groups steadily increased during the studied period. Healthcare services for people with diabetes mellitus cost 2.5 times more than that of people without diabetes of the same age group.
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