Snow cover duration delays spring green-up in the northern hemisphere the most for grasslands

Abstract

Snow is an important factor controlling vegetation functions in high latitudes/altitudes. However, due to the lack of reliable in-situ measurements, the effects of snow on vegetation phenology remains poorly understood. Here, we examine the effects of snow cover duration (SCD) on the start of growing season (SOS) for different vegetation types. SOS and SCD were extracted from in-situ carbon flux and albedo data, respectively, at 51 eddy covariance flux sites in the northern mid-high latitudes. The effects of SCD on SOS vary substantially among different vegetation types. For grassland, preseason SCD outperforms other factors controlling grassland SOS. However, for forests and cropland, the preseason air temperature is the dominant factor in controlling SOS. Preseason SCD mainly influences the SOS by regulating preseason air and soil temperature rather than soil moisture. The CMIP6 Earth system models (ESMs) fail to capture the effect of SCD on SOS. Thus, Random Forest (RF) models were established to predict future SOS changing trends considering the effect of SCD. For grassland and evergreen needleleaf forest, the projected SOS advance rate is slower when SCD is considered. These findings can help us better understand impacts of snow on vegetation phenology and carbon-climate feedbacks in the warming world.